Score predictions and analysis for six SEC games in Week 7

Jarett Stidham
Auburn at Miss State football on Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018 in Starkville, Ms
Todd Van Emst/AU Athletics

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

It is time for some SEC football predictions, as I do each week on here on my blog, Vince’s View, which is driven by Oak Ridge Nissan.

The point spreads are simply as a gauge of favorites with straight-up winners, not picked against the spread.

2018 Week 6 Prediction Record: 3-4
Season Prediction Record: 47-13 (78%)

Week 7 – SEC Football Schedule

Tennessee (2-3, 0-2 SEC) at #21 Auburn (4-2, 1-2 SEC)
Series: AU leads, 28-21-3
Noon ET • SEC Network
Last: AU, 55-23 (2013 at Knoxville)
Auburn, Ala. • Jordan-Hare Stadium (87,451)
Sirius: 81/105 • XM: 81/190
Line: Auburn -15 ½
Vince’s View: Auburn has one of the best defenses in the country, statistically and in personnel. Unless we see a drastically different Vols offensive line and pass protection, I think this is a decided mismatch in Auburn’s favor. I know Miss State had success running the ball against the Tigers last week, but that was with a running quarterback. That’s something Tennessee doesn’t have. Auburn was on the wrong end of two bad replay calls that went against them because there wasn’t a camera on the goal line that would have changed the entire game. Auburn’s team speed and misdirection offense that stretches you sideline-to-sideline are concerns I have for the Vols defense. Even though Auburn has had its struggles offensively, it has a quality QB and the capability to put it together. UT looks like it’s rolling with mostly the same personnel after the open week, just with hopes that they’re refreshed, more fundamentally sound and more focused than before. If UT is going to have a chance in this game, Tyson Helton has to have his best game calling plays, this coaching staff has to have its best game plan of the season and UT has to have the best QB in the game. UT’s terrible starts have wiped-out any chance to win against their best opponents. With 11 straight SEC losses with the span of 694 days on game day since the last conference victory for the Vols, I won’t pick them until they break through.
Score Prediction: Auburn 27 Tennessee 14

#14 Florida (5-1, 3-1 SEC) at Vanderbilt (3-3, 0-2 SEC)
Series: UF leads, 39-10-2
Noon ET • ESPN
Last: UF, 38-24 (2017 at Gainesville)
Nashville, Tenn. • Vanderbilt Stadium (40,350)
Sirius: 99/103 • XM: 192/191
Line: Florida -7
Vince’s View: Florida is 4th in the nation in turnover margin. The Gators are better defensively than many thought, they are turning teams over and Franks has not been the turnover machine many thought he would be, Mullen has him managing the game and protecting the football. Vandy has gone south since the Notre Dame game. Much of the Vandy issues are on defense and the line of scrimmage.
Score Prediction: Florida 31 Vanderbilt 17

#2 Georgia (6-0, 4-0 SEC) at #13 LSU (5-1, 2-1 SEC)
Series: LSU leads, 16-13-1
3:30 p.m. ET • CBS
Last: UGA, 44-41 (2013 at Athens)
Baton Rouge, La. • Tiger Stadium (102,321)
Sirius: 99/103 • XM: 192/191
Line: Georgia -7 ½
Vince’s View: LSU has won 20 straight games at home in the month of October. That’s strong. Georgia has out-talented their last 3 SEC East opponents without really playing to their potential. They’ll need to be better against LSU. Shockingly, LSU is 9th in the SEC in total defense. Georgia will be able to score on LSU and slow down Joe Burrow and LSU’s offense enough to win a tough, tight game.
Score Prediction: Georgia 30 LSU 27

Texas A&M (4-2, 2-1 SEC) at South Carolina (3-2, 2-2 SEC)
Series: TAMU leads, 4-0
3:30 p.m. ET • SEC Network
Last: TAMU 24-17 (2017 at College Station)
Columbia, S.C. • Williams-Brice Stadium (80,250)
Sirius: 81/105 • XM: 81/190
Line: Texas A&M -2 ½
Vince’s View: I was very impressed by A&M’s low-scoring slugfest OT win over UK last week. Who would have predicted that the Aggies would have by far the best rush defense in the league at the midway point? SC’s inability to run the ball has hampered the offense. Michael Scarnecchia played great in place of injured starter Jake Bentley last week in the SC win over Mizzou. Bentley is back despite some wanting Bentley to remain on the bench. SC’s defense is almost the reverse of Texas A&M…struggles against the run but excellent in pass defense.
Score Prediction: Texas A&M 28 South Carolina 26

Missouri (3-2, 0-2 SEC) at #1 Alabama (6-0, 3-0 SEC)
Series: UA leads, 3-2
7 p.m. ET • ESPN
Last: UA, 42-13 (2014 at SEC Championship Game)
Tuscaloosa, Ala. • Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821)
Sirius: 99/103 • XM: 192/191
Line: Alabama -28
Vince’s View: Alabama’s passing game has been incredibly fun to watch and explosive. Missouri is averaging nearly 6 yards per attempt less than Alabama. If Mizzou’s short passing game can possess the ball and not miss out on redzone chances against a Diggs-less Bama secondary, the Tigers will have a shot to cover. Not win, just cover. Tua. That is all.
Score Prediction: Alabama 45 Missouri 14

Ole Miss (4-2, 0-2 SEC) at Arkansas (1-5, 0-3 SEC)
Series: ARK leads, 36-28-1
7:30 p.m. ET • SEC Network
Last: ARK, 38-37 (2017 at Oxford)
Little Rock, Ark. • War Memorial Stadium (54,120)
Sirius: 81/105• XM: 81/190
Line: Ole Miss -6 ½
Vince’s View: Ole Miss has feasted on lesser competition. The Rebels are 5th in the country in passing offense and 7th in total offense. Arkansas has shown fight as of late, but that team can’t keep up with Jordan Ta’amu, AJ Brown and Ole Miss.
Score Prediction: Ole Miss 42 Arkansas 21

Open Date: #18 Kentucky (5-1, 3-1 SEC); #24 Mississippi State (4-2, 1-2 SEC)

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